HomeQ&AFixed vs. Variable Mortgage: Which Is Better in Canada?
buying⭐ Featured

Fixed vs. Variable Mortgage: Which Is Better in Canada?

Aug 14, 2026 0 views

Quick Answer

Fixed vs. Variable Mortgage: Which Is Better in Canada?

Fixed mortgages offer rate certainty and protection from increases, while variable mortgages historically cost less over the long term but carry payment fluctuation risk. Variable rates typically outperform fixed when the Bank of Canada is cutting rates; fixed is preferable when rates are rising or for budget certainty. Your choice depends on risk tolerance and rate outlook.

Detailed Explanation

Fixed vs. Variable Mortgages in Canada

Fixed-Rate Mortgages

With a fixed-rate mortgage, your interest rate stays the same for the entire term (typically 1 to 5 years). Your monthly payment remains constant regardless of market changes.

Pros:

  • Payment certainty for budgeting
  • Protection against rate increases
  • No risk of payment shock
  • Easier to qualify (lenders prefer predictable payments)

Cons:

  • Typically higher initial rate than variable
  • Breaking a fixed mortgage early can be expensive (IRD penalty)
  • No benefit when rates drop

Variable-Rate Mortgages

With a variable-rate mortgage, your interest rate fluctuates with the lender's prime rate, which tracks the Bank of Canada's overnight rate.

Pros:

  • Historically lower rates than fixed (typically 0.5 to 1.0% less)
  • Potential savings when rates fall
  • Lower penalty to break early (typically 3 months' interest)
  • Rate can drop without refinancing

Cons:

  • Payment uncertainty (rates can rise)
  • Risk of payment shock during rate increases
  • Psychological stress of fluctuating payments

Historical Performance

A Bank of Canada study found that variable-rate mortgages cost less than fixed-rate mortgages approximately 80 to 90% of the time over a 10-year period. However, this doesn't account for rate hike cycles where variable borrowers saw significant increases.

When to Choose Fixed

  • You expect rates to rise
  • You need budget certainty
  • You plan to stay in the home long-term
  • You're risk-averse
  • Rates are historically low

When to Choose Variable

  • You expect rates to fall or stay stable
  • You can absorb payment increases
  • You may sell or refinance soon
  • The spread between fixed and variable is significant (>0.5%)

How It Is Calculated

How to Compare Fixed vs. Variable

Step 1: Get Rate Quotes

Obtain current rates from multiple lenders:

  • 5-year fixed: e.g., 4.79%
  • 5-year variable: e.g., 5.10% (prime - 0.35%)

Step 2: Calculate Monthly Payments

For a $500,000 mortgage, 25-year amortization:

Fixed at 4.79%:

  • Monthly payment: ~$2,845
  • Total interest over 5 years: ~$114,700

Variable at 5.10% (if rates stay flat):

  • Monthly payment: ~$2,948
  • Total interest over 5 years: ~$122,900

Step 3: Factor in Rate Scenarios

ScenarioFixed Total CostVariable Total Cost
Rates stay flat$170,700$177,900
Rates drop 1%$170,700$164,200
Rates rise 1%$170,700$191,600

Step 4: Consider Penalties

  • Fixed mortgage break penalty: Interest Rate Differential (IRD) — can be $10,000 to $30,000+
  • Variable mortgage break penalty: 3 months' interest — typically $3,000 to $8,000

Example

Example: $500,000 Mortgage Comparison

Scenario: Borrower choosing between 5-year fixed (4.79%) and 5-year variable (prime - 0.35%, currently 5.10%).

Factor5-Year Fixed5-Year Variable
Starting rate4.79%5.10%
Monthly payment$2,845$2,948
Rate after 2 years (rates drop 1%)4.79%4.10%
Monthly payment after drop$2,845$2,565
Total paid over 5 years~$170,700~$167,200 (if rates drop)
Break penalty (if selling year 3)~$15,000 IRD~$7,200 (3 months interest)

Decision factors:

  • If the Bank of Canada is in a rate-cutting cycle, variable can save money
  • If you may sell before 5 years, variable's lower penalty is advantageous
  • If you need absolute payment certainty, choose fixed
  • The break-even point: variable needs rates to drop by ~0.5% within 2 years to beat fixed

Sources & References

Bank of Canada — Interest Rate Decisions

Bank of Canada policy rate history and decisions affecting variable mortgage rates

CMHC — Mortgage Consumer Survey

CMHC annual survey of mortgage consumer behavior and preferences

Financial Consumer Agency of Canada

Government guide to choosing between fixed and variable mortgages

Last reviewed: August 14, 2026

Advertisement
Mehul Desai

Mehul DesaiPRO

Real Estate Agent

Livio Real Estate Brokerage*

Thinking of Real Estate? I'm Your REALTOR® for Life. Call Me Today.

Toronto, ON

Have another question?

Get instant AI-powered answers

Ask AI Advisor

Deeper personalized advice